Throw It Like a Ballplayer

providing baseball commentary and ponderings since April 2010

Posts Tagged ‘Reds’

The Cases for Adrian and Adam

Posted by dannmckeegan on October 8, 2010

Both Adrian Gonzalez of San Diego and soon-to-be free agent Adam Dunn have reportedly expressed interest in playing for the Chicago Cubs. Gonzalez, as first basemen by trade, expressed this sentiment to the Chicago Sun-Times’ Gordon Wittenmeyer last week as the Cubs were in the midst of hurting the Padres’ playoff chances. Carlos Zambrano claims, according to Bleed Cubbie Blue, that Dunn told him way back when the “first baseman”/slugger first was traded to the desert from the banks of the mighty Ohio. Read the rest of this entry »

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The NL MVP Race: Yo, Adrian

Posted by dannmckeegan on September 20, 2010

I was reading Dave Cameron‘s piece over at FanGraphs asking if Colorado SS Troy Tulowitzki should be the NL MVP in 2010. The one caveat I have with mentioning Tulo (or CarGo) in the same breath as park-adjustments in 2010 is that another top candidate, Joey Votto, plays in a park in which a man can hit a home run into the Ohio River.  But at the same time, park factors are integral to looking at SD 1B Adrian Gonzalez‘s candidacy. Read the rest of this entry »

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NL Central Injury Report

Posted by dannmckeegan on May 27, 2010

A few injuries and ailments are currently becoming big issues in the National League Central.  St. Louis has two starting pitchers out; Chicago has a trio of impaired third basemen and a pitcher with a mystery ailment; Cincinnati is becoming beleaguered across the field; Milwaukee says, “I’ll show you beleaguered;”  the Pirates have their fair share; and the last-place Astros thankfully are sneaking by with decent health. Read the rest of this entry »

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The NL Central Quarterly, pt. 2

Posted by dannmckeegan on May 21, 2010

With the 2010 season now past the 40-game mark, a quarterly report is due. This is the second part of a two-part analysis. The first half of was published here yesterday. It covered the relationships between the records of the six teams in the NL Central and runs both scored and allowed. Today’s entry will deal with the two questions left unanswered yesterday:

1) What relationship exists between the 4-run barrier and the individual teams’ runs scored and runs allowed?
2) Does the cumulative view change much when we separate runs for and against each team into categories above and below the 4-run barrier?

If you missed the article yesterday, this 4-run barrier is simply a binary split of games in which a given team’s offense was or was not able to score 4 or more runs. My interest in this split began with the Chicago media’s harping on the Cubs’ 1-17 record when they score three or fewer runs. The next angle that interested me was that a team receiving a quality start would probably be in a position to win those games with a minimum of 4 runs of support. Read the rest of this entry »

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The NL Central Quarterly, pt. 1

Posted by dannmckeegan on May 20, 2010

A quick glance at the NL Central standings through the season’s first quarter isn’t all that surprising. The clear-cut favorite and the sexy long-shot are neck-and-neck atop the division. The veteran team with some clear holes is lingering. The perennial doormat is surprisingly competitive. The all-hit, no-pitch team looks to be in freefall. And the expected loser has struggled as much as was expected.

I began looking at the standings and scoreboards, but then I became curious about the breakdown of records. Specifically, the oft-mentioned Cubs record of 1-17 when they score 3 or fewer runs was of interest. Obviously, most teams will do poorly when they don’t score any runs. On the other hand, they may be expected to do well when they do put runs on the board. So as of Wednesday night, the other half of the Cubs’ split is an 18-5 record when they score 4 or more runs.

A few questions arise. First, is there anything we can learn from the straight runs scored/runs allowed difference? Second, how does the Cubs’ low/high offense split compare to that of the other teams in the NL Central? Third, what relationship exists between the 4-run barrier and the individual teams’ runs scored and runs allowed? Fourth, does the cumulative view change much when we separate runs for and against each team into categories above and below the 4-run barrier? Read the rest of this entry »

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Lies, Damn Lies and Sombreros

Posted by dannmckeegan on April 10, 2010

The Golden Sombrero.  If we called it Le Chapeau D’Or, former fans of the former Expos might believe it to be a Southwestern film festival’s top prize.  But Juan Francisco, who spelled Reds regular Scott Rolen at third base Saturday, would be able to tell them otherwise.  On his way to a four-strikeout game against the Cubs, though, a funny thing happened on the way back to the bench.  And it’s the kind of thing that should cause sabermetricians to lose sleep at night.  Juan Francisco lies in the face of Truth…in outcomes. Read the rest of this entry »

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